Your market briefing
The events, headlines and analysis that matter — organised into a briefing you can actually use.
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Never tell me the odds: Prediction markets see Democrats taking control of House and Senate
USDGBP
Prediction markets are pointing to a Democratic sweep of Congress in today's US midterm elections, with the odds of Democrats taking control of the Senate rising sharply in recent weeks.
Never tell me the odds: Prediction markets see Democrats taking control of House and Senate
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Treasury yields edge up as Election Day meets JOLTS, refunding
Treasury yields edge up as Election Day meets JOLTS, refunding
Treasury yields edge up as Election Day meets JOLTS, refunding
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
Treasury yields edge up as Election Day meets JOLTS, refunding
Treasury yields edge up as Election Day meets JOLTS, refunding
Treasury yields edge up as Election Day meets JOLTS, refunding
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
European news wrap: Markets remain cautious as focus shifts to US midterm elections
USDEURAUDCADCHF
Headlines: The S&P 500 stays on the back foot amid geopolitical uncertainty as US midterm elections loom.
European news wrap: Markets remain cautious as focus shifts to US midterm elections
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
European news wrap: Markets remain cautious as focus shifts to US midterm elections
USDEURAUDCADCHF
Headlines: The S&P 500 stays on the back foot amid geopolitical uncertainty as US midterm elections loom.
European news wrap: Markets remain cautious as focus shifts to US midterm elections
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Dollar subdued as U.S. midterms get underway; Aussie Hits 2-week low
USD
Dollar subdued as U.S. midterms get underway; Aussie Hits 2-week low
Dollar subdued as U.S. midterms get underway; Aussie Hits 2-week low
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
Dollar subdued as U.S. midterms get underway; Aussie Hits 2-week low
USD
Dollar subdued as U.S. midterms get underway; Aussie Hits 2-week low
Dollar subdued as U.S. midterms get underway; Aussie Hits 2-week low
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Sterling today: Pound edges up as dollar eases, BoE hike in view
USDGBP
Sterling today: Pound edges up as dollar eases, BoE hike in view
Sterling today: Pound edges up as dollar eases, BoE hike in view
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
Sterling today: Pound edges up as dollar eases, BoE hike in view
USDGBP
Sterling today: Pound edges up as dollar eases, BoE hike in view
Sterling today: Pound edges up as dollar eases, BoE hike in view
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Swiss inflation surprises higher in October but core prices offer some relief
USDCHF
Switzerland October CPI +1.5% vs +1.3% y/y expected Prior +1.0% Switzerland October core CPI +0.5% y/y Prior +0.5% Swiss headline annual inflation picks up at the start of the third quarter, rising to 1.5% from 1.0% previously. Much like elsewhere around the region, higher energy prices are the main culprit in continuing to feed through to consumer prices.
Swiss inflation surprises higher in October but core prices offer some relief
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Swiss inflation surprises higher in October but core prices offer some relief
USDCHF
Switzerland October CPI +1.5% vs +1.3% y/y expected Prior +1.0% Switzerland October core CPI +0.5% y/y Prior +0.5% Swiss headline annual inflation picks up at the start of the third quarter, rising to 1.5% from 1.0% previously. Much like elsewhere around the region, higher energy prices are the main culprit in continuing to feed through to consumer prices.
Swiss inflation surprises higher in October but core prices offer some relief
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
What are the main events for today?
USDCAD
EUROPEAN SESSION In the European session, the only highlight is the Swiss CPI report. Headline CPI Y/Y is expected at 1.2% vs 1.0% prior, while the Core Y/Y measure is seen unchanged at 0.5%.
What are the main events for today?
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
What are the main events for today?
USDCAD
EUROPEAN SESSION In the European session, the only highlight is the Swiss CPI report. Headline CPI Y/Y is expected at 1.2% vs 1.0% prior, while the Core Y/Y measure is seen unchanged at 0.5%.
What are the main events for today?
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
US-Iran deal still out of reach despite fresh diplomatic hopes ahead of US midterms
USD
And round and round we go. We started the week with renewed optimism that the US and Iran might finally be inching towards a diplomatic breakthrough.
US-Iran deal still out of reach despite fresh diplomatic hopes ahead of US midterms
What this may mean
Energy-market changes can affect inflation expectations, commodity currencies, transport costs and broader risk sentiment.
US-Iran deal still out of reach despite fresh diplomatic hopes ahead of US midterms
USD
And round and round we go. We started the week with renewed optimism that the US and Iran might finally be inching towards a diplomatic breakthrough.
US-Iran deal still out of reach despite fresh diplomatic hopes ahead of US midterms
What this may mean
Energy-market changes can affect inflation expectations, commodity currencies, transport costs and broader risk sentiment.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Asia-Pacific market news: RBA hikes to 18-year high
USDJPYAUDCNY
Apple and Palantir beat earnings. Why did both stocks fall?
Asia-Pacific market news: RBA hikes to 18-year high
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Asia-Pacific market news: RBA hikes to 18-year high
USDJPYAUDCNY
Apple and Palantir beat earnings. Why did both stocks fall?
Asia-Pacific market news: RBA hikes to 18-year high
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Dollar slips slightly ahead of U.S. midterm elections; euro gains while yen eases
USDEURJPY
Dollar slips slightly ahead of U.S. midterm elections; euro gains while yen eases
Dollar slips slightly ahead of U.S. midterm elections; euro gains while yen eases
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
Dollar slips slightly ahead of U.S. midterm elections; euro gains while yen eases
USDEURJPY
Dollar slips slightly ahead of U.S. midterm elections; euro gains while yen eases
Dollar slips slightly ahead of U.S. midterm elections; euro gains while yen eases
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Americas FX news wrap 2 Nov: It’s a wrap: AI selling overwhelms oil’s plunge
USDAUDCADCHF
Economic and event calendar in Asia 03 November 2026 - RBA rate hike expected Apple and Palantir earnings preview: The numbers buyers and sellers will be watching Iran and US reportedly on verge of preliminary agreement Gold Technicals: Gold is up sharply erasing some of last week's declines. Bounces off key MA target.
Americas FX news wrap 2 Nov: It’s a wrap: AI selling overwhelms oil’s plunge
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Americas FX news wrap 2 Nov: It’s a wrap: AI selling overwhelms oil’s plunge
USDAUDCADCHF
Economic and event calendar in Asia 03 November 2026 - RBA rate hike expected Apple and Palantir earnings preview: The numbers buyers and sellers will be watching Iran and US reportedly on verge of preliminary agreement Gold Technicals: Gold is up sharply erasing some of last week's declines. Bounces off key MA target.
Americas FX news wrap 2 Nov: It’s a wrap: AI selling overwhelms oil’s plunge
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Potentially supportive
Iran and US reportedly on verge of preliminary agreement
USD
Tehran and Washington are reportedly nearing a preliminary agreement, according to ILNA Telegram citing Al-Sharara news agency: Al-Sharara news agency reported, citing a diplomatic source aware of the intensive diplomatic moves between Tehran and Washington to reach a preliminary agreement aimed at reducing tensions, and announced that the coming hours will be decisive in de...
Iran and US reportedly on verge of preliminary agreement
What this may mean
Energy-market changes can affect inflation expectations, commodity currencies, transport costs and broader risk sentiment.
Iran and US reportedly on verge of preliminary agreement
USD
Tehran and Washington are reportedly nearing a preliminary agreement, according to ILNA Telegram citing Al-Sharara news agency: Al-Sharara news agency reported, citing a diplomatic source aware of the intensive diplomatic moves between Tehran and Washington to reach a preliminary agreement aimed at reducing tensions, and announced that the coming hours will be decisive in de...
Iran and US reportedly on verge of preliminary agreement
What this may mean
Energy-market changes can affect inflation expectations, commodity currencies, transport costs and broader risk sentiment.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Canadian dollar slips from six-week high as oil retreat offsets weaker U.S. dollar
USDCAD
Canadian dollar slips from six-week high as oil retreat offsets weaker U.S. dollar
Canadian dollar slips from six-week high as oil retreat offsets weaker U.S. dollar
What this may mean
Energy-market changes can affect inflation expectations, commodity currencies, transport costs and broader risk sentiment.
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