Your market briefing
The events, headlines and analysis that matter — organised into a briefing you can actually use.
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Bitcoin, cryptocurrency prices fall after Binance reports security issue
Bitcoin, cryptocurrency prices fall after Binance reports security issue
Bitcoin, cryptocurrency prices fall after Binance reports security issue
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
Bitcoin, cryptocurrency prices fall after Binance reports security issue
Bitcoin, cryptocurrency prices fall after Binance reports security issue
Bitcoin, cryptocurrency prices fall after Binance reports security issue
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Japan September factory output beats forecasts, but retail sales disappoint ahead of BoJ
JPY
The data give the BoJ evidence on both sides, so the reaction in the yen and Japanese government bonds is likely to be modest ahead of the policy decision and Outlook Report later in the day. Stronger output and upbeat production plans support Japanese industrials and exporters.
Japan September factory output beats forecasts, but retail sales disappoint ahead of BoJ
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Japan September factory output beats forecasts, but retail sales disappoint ahead of BoJ
JPY
The data give the BoJ evidence on both sides, so the reaction in the yen and Japanese government bonds is likely to be modest ahead of the policy decision and Outlook Report later in the day. Stronger output and upbeat production plans support Japanese industrials and exporters.
Japan September factory output beats forecasts, but retail sales disappoint ahead of BoJ
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Tokyo October CPI 2.8% (2.7% expected)
JPY
Tokyo CPI, October (y/y) Headline: 2.8% vs. 2.7% expected (prior 2.7%) Core (ex fresh food): 2.6% vs.
Tokyo October CPI 2.8% (2.7% expected)
What this may mean
Inflation developments can change the expected path of interest rates and therefore affect currencies, bonds, equities and gold.
Tokyo October CPI 2.8% (2.7% expected)
JPY
Tokyo CPI, October (y/y) Headline: 2.8% vs. 2.7% expected (prior 2.7%) Core (ex fresh food): 2.6% vs.
Tokyo October CPI 2.8% (2.7% expected)
What this may mean
Inflation developments can change the expected path of interest rates and therefore affect currencies, bonds, equities and gold.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Americas market news wrap: ECB holds, sources report says December hike
USDEURGBPAUD
Iran's Ghalibaf: Progress can only be achieved once the seven conditions have been agreed upon Trump: Iran war will be over very soon.
Americas market news wrap: ECB holds, sources report says December hike
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Americas market news wrap: ECB holds, sources report says December hike
USDEURGBPAUD
Iran's Ghalibaf: Progress can only be achieved once the seven conditions have been agreed upon Trump: Iran war will be over very soon.
Americas market news wrap: ECB holds, sources report says December hike
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Dollar dips and euro rises after Fed, ECB rate decisions; pound extends gains
USDEURGBP
Dollar dips and euro rises after Fed, ECB rate decisions; pound extends gains
Dollar dips and euro rises after Fed, ECB rate decisions; pound extends gains
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Dollar dips and euro rises after Fed, ECB rate decisions; pound extends gains
USDEURGBP
Dollar dips and euro rises after Fed, ECB rate decisions; pound extends gains
Dollar dips and euro rises after Fed, ECB rate decisions; pound extends gains
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Trump: Iran war will be over very soon. Senator warns of 'insane' US plans
USD
Trump has said this at least 100 times since the war started in late February. He is an improviser, not a planner.
Trump: Iran war will be over very soon. Senator warns of 'insane' US plans
What this may mean
Energy-market changes can affect inflation expectations, commodity currencies, transport costs and broader risk sentiment.
Trump: Iran war will be over very soon. Senator warns of 'insane' US plans
USD
Trump has said this at least 100 times since the war started in late February. He is an improviser, not a planner.
Trump: Iran war will be over very soon. Senator warns of 'insane' US plans
What this may mean
Energy-market changes can affect inflation expectations, commodity currencies, transport costs and broader risk sentiment.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Iran's Ghalibaf: Progress can only be achieved once the seven conditions have been agreed upon
USD
Iran this week has repeated its 'seven conditions' several times and most of it was part of the agreement with the US from June 17. End military operations on all fronts.
Iran's Ghalibaf: Progress can only be achieved once the seven conditions have been agreed upon
What this may mean
Energy-market changes can affect inflation expectations, commodity currencies, transport costs and broader risk sentiment.
Iran's Ghalibaf: Progress can only be achieved once the seven conditions have been agreed upon
USD
Iran this week has repeated its 'seven conditions' several times and most of it was part of the agreement with the US from June 17. End military operations on all fronts.
Iran's Ghalibaf: Progress can only be achieved once the seven conditions have been agreed upon
What this may mean
Energy-market changes can affect inflation expectations, commodity currencies, transport costs and broader risk sentiment.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
US treasury sells $44 billion of 7 year notes at a high yield of 4.894%
USD
High yield: 4.894% WI level at the time of the auction: 4.894% Tail: 0.0 basis points vs the average of 0.2 basis points Bid to cover: 2.46X vs the average of 2.49X Directs: 32.82% vs the average of 24.2% Indirects: 57.77% vs the average of 63.7% Dealers: 9.41% vs the average of 12.1% Auction grade: B− A slightly above-average auction overall.
US treasury sells $44 billion of 7 year notes at a high yield of 4.894%
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
US treasury sells $44 billion of 7 year notes at a high yield of 4.894%
USD
High yield: 4.894% WI level at the time of the auction: 4.894% Tail: 0.0 basis points vs the average of 0.2 basis points Bid to cover: 2.46X vs the average of 2.49X Directs: 32.82% vs the average of 24.2% Indirects: 57.77% vs the average of 63.7% Dealers: 9.41% vs the average of 12.1% Auction grade: B− A slightly above-average auction overall.
US treasury sells $44 billion of 7 year notes at a high yield of 4.894%
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Canadian dollar strengthens as traders assess BoC hike, await US data
USDCAD
Canadian dollar strengthens as traders assess BoC hike, await US data
Canadian dollar strengthens as traders assess BoC hike, await US data
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Canadian dollar strengthens as traders assess BoC hike, await US data
USDCAD
Canadian dollar strengthens as traders assess BoC hike, await US data
Canadian dollar strengthens as traders assess BoC hike, await US data
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Sterling hits 17-Month high vs Euro as ECB holds rates
EURGBP
Sterling hits 17-Month high vs Euro as ECB holds rates
Sterling hits 17-Month high vs Euro as ECB holds rates
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Sterling hits 17-Month high vs Euro as ECB holds rates
EURGBP
Sterling hits 17-Month high vs Euro as ECB holds rates
Sterling hits 17-Month high vs Euro as ECB holds rates
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
U.S. yields steady on PCE lands in-line; Europe awaits ECb
USDEUR
U.S. yields steady on PCE lands in-line; Europe awaits ECb
U.S. yields steady on PCE lands in-line; Europe awaits ECb
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
U.S. yields steady on PCE lands in-line; Europe awaits ECb
USDEUR
U.S. yields steady on PCE lands in-line; Europe awaits ECb
U.S. yields steady on PCE lands in-line; Europe awaits ECb
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
US September PCE core inflation +0.5% m/m vs +0.3% expected
USDJPYAUD
Prior MoM +0.2% Core PCE +0.3% y/y vs +3.1% expected Prior was 3.0% y/y Headline PCE +3.6% y/y vs +3.6% expected (prior 3.4%) Deflator MoM +0.5% vs +0.5% expected (prior +0.3%) Consumer spending and income for September: Personal income +0.2% vs +0.3% expected. Prior month +0.2% Personal spending +0.5% vs +0.6% expected.
US September PCE core inflation +0.5% m/m vs +0.3% expected
What this may mean
Inflation developments can change the expected path of interest rates and therefore affect currencies, bonds, equities and gold.
US September PCE core inflation +0.5% m/m vs +0.3% expected
USDJPYAUD
Prior MoM +0.2% Core PCE +0.3% y/y vs +3.1% expected Prior was 3.0% y/y Headline PCE +3.6% y/y vs +3.6% expected (prior 3.4%) Deflator MoM +0.5% vs +0.5% expected (prior +0.3%) Consumer spending and income for September: Personal income +0.2% vs +0.3% expected. Prior month +0.2% Personal spending +0.5% vs +0.6% expected.
US September PCE core inflation +0.5% m/m vs +0.3% expected
What this may mean
Inflation developments can change the expected path of interest rates and therefore affect currencies, bonds, equities and gold.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
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