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Saudi Arabia offers cash to Houthis to stop attacks - report
An extraordinary report from Israel Hayom says Saudi Arabia is seeking a ceasefire with the Houthis through a deal that would see $1 billion transferred to the Iranian-backed group via Tehran.
Saudi Arabia offers cash to Houthis to stop attacks - report
What this may mean
Energy-market changes can affect inflation expectations, commodity currencies, transport costs and broader risk sentiment.
Saudi Arabia offers cash to Houthis to stop attacks - report
An extraordinary report from Israel Hayom says Saudi Arabia is seeking a ceasefire with the Houthis through a deal that would see $1 billion transferred to the Iranian-backed group via Tehran.
Saudi Arabia offers cash to Houthis to stop attacks - report
What this may mean
Energy-market changes can affect inflation expectations, commodity currencies, transport costs and broader risk sentiment.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
The cost of intelligence is collapsing
OpenAI is just out with a new model named GPT 6.1 Terra. This isn't as strong as GPT-6 Astra but it's far more efficient and it gets to the heart of where AI is headed.
The cost of intelligence is collapsing
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
The cost of intelligence is collapsing
OpenAI is just out with a new model named GPT 6.1 Terra. This isn't as strong as GPT-6 Astra but it's far more efficient and it gets to the heart of where AI is headed.
The cost of intelligence is collapsing
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
US Treasury sells $69 billion of 2-year notes at a high yield of 4.708%
USD
High yield: 4.708% WI level at the time of the auction: 4.705% Tail: 0.3 basis points vs the average of a 0.2-basis-point stop-through Bid to cover: 2.59X vs the average of 2.64X Directs: 41.32% vs the average of 30.4% Indirects: 45.68% vs the average of 58.3% Dealers: 13.0% vs the average of 11.3% Auction grade: C− The auction was a little below average.
US Treasury sells $69 billion of 2-year notes at a high yield of 4.708%
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
US Treasury sells $69 billion of 2-year notes at a high yield of 4.708%
USD
High yield: 4.708% WI level at the time of the auction: 4.705% Tail: 0.3 basis points vs the average of a 0.2-basis-point stop-through Bid to cover: 2.59X vs the average of 2.64X Directs: 41.32% vs the average of 30.4% Indirects: 45.68% vs the average of 58.3% Dealers: 13.0% vs the average of 11.3% Auction grade: C− The auction was a little below average.
US Treasury sells $69 billion of 2-year notes at a high yield of 4.708%
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Saudi, Pakistani, Iranian and Turkish security chiefs sit down in Tehran, agree to continue talks
USD
Iran hosted the first four-way meeting of Iran, Pakistan, Turkey and Saudi Arabia in Tehran today, according to Fars. The group released a short statement afterwards, noting that they had agreed to continuing talks.
Saudi, Pakistani, Iranian and Turkish security chiefs sit down in Tehran, agree to continue talks
What this may mean
Energy-market changes can affect inflation expectations, commodity currencies, transport costs and broader risk sentiment.
Saudi, Pakistani, Iranian and Turkish security chiefs sit down in Tehran, agree to continue talks
USD
Iran hosted the first four-way meeting of Iran, Pakistan, Turkey and Saudi Arabia in Tehran today, according to Fars. The group released a short statement afterwards, noting that they had agreed to continuing talks.
Saudi, Pakistani, Iranian and Turkish security chiefs sit down in Tehran, agree to continue talks
What this may mean
Energy-market changes can affect inflation expectations, commodity currencies, transport costs and broader risk sentiment.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
US October Dallas Fed manufacturing index 13.4 vs 9.8 prior
USDCNY
Prior was +9.8 Employment 11.6 vs 15.1 prior capex 11.9 vs 8.5 prior New orders 9.3 vs 30.7 prior Prices paid 55.3 vs 52.2 prior Future index 38.1 vs 20.8 prior The survey improved but that new orders reading is sending a conflicting signal from the future index.
US October Dallas Fed manufacturing index 13.4 vs 9.8 prior
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
US October Dallas Fed manufacturing index 13.4 vs 9.8 prior
USDCNY
Prior was +9.8 Employment 11.6 vs 15.1 prior capex 11.9 vs 8.5 prior New orders 9.3 vs 30.7 prior Prices paid 55.3 vs 52.2 prior Future index 38.1 vs 20.8 prior The survey improved but that new orders reading is sending a conflicting signal from the future index.
US October Dallas Fed manufacturing index 13.4 vs 9.8 prior
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Anthropic files for IPO on Nasdaq, will use the symbol 'ANT'
Anthropic has filed the IPO that was rumored to be coming today. An interesting bit of trivia is the ‘ant’ mythology.
Anthropic files for IPO on Nasdaq, will use the symbol 'ANT'
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
Anthropic files for IPO on Nasdaq, will use the symbol 'ANT'
Anthropic has filed the IPO that was rumored to be coming today. An interesting bit of trivia is the ‘ant’ mythology.
Anthropic files for IPO on Nasdaq, will use the symbol 'ANT'
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Brazil’s real weakens 12% as Lula wins reelection
Brazil’s real weakens 12% as Lula wins reelection
Brazil’s real weakens 12% as Lula wins reelection
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
Brazil’s real weakens 12% as Lula wins reelection
Brazil’s real weakens 12% as Lula wins reelection
Brazil’s real weakens 12% as Lula wins reelection
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
U.S. yields hover near 3-week lows as ahead of Fed decision
USD
U.S. yields hover near 3-week lows as ahead of Fed decision
U.S. yields hover near 3-week lows as ahead of Fed decision
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
U.S. yields hover near 3-week lows as ahead of Fed decision
USD
U.S. yields hover near 3-week lows as ahead of Fed decision
U.S. yields hover near 3-week lows as ahead of Fed decision
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
European session wrap: Stocks rebound as oil eases, French bonds find relief
USDJPY
Headlines: Major central banks take centre stage this week but will there be any surprises? Oil retreats as Trump refrains from striking Iran over the weekend; risk of attacks keeps the market supported Chart of the day: Gold price tests $4,000 support, is a deeper correction looming?
European session wrap: Stocks rebound as oil eases, French bonds find relief
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
European session wrap: Stocks rebound as oil eases, French bonds find relief
USDJPY
Headlines: Major central banks take centre stage this week but will there be any surprises? Oil retreats as Trump refrains from striking Iran over the weekend; risk of attacks keeps the market supported Chart of the day: Gold price tests $4,000 support, is a deeper correction looming?
European session wrap: Stocks rebound as oil eases, French bonds find relief
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
UK autumn budget preview: Can Healey calm markets and change BOE rate hike bets?
USDGBP
The UK autumn budget is coming up on 28 October, just a week before the BOE's next monetary policy decision . And with inflation concerns still hanging over the economy , the government's fiscal plans could have a say in how interest rate expectations develop over the coming months.
UK autumn budget preview: Can Healey calm markets and change BOE rate hike bets?
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
UK autumn budget preview: Can Healey calm markets and change BOE rate hike bets?
USDGBP
The UK autumn budget is coming up on 28 October, just a week before the BOE's next monetary policy decision . And with inflation concerns still hanging over the economy , the government's fiscal plans could have a say in how interest rate expectations develop over the coming months.
UK autumn budget preview: Can Healey calm markets and change BOE rate hike bets?
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Potentially supportive
Sterling today: Pound slips as dollar holds firm ahead of Fed decision
USDGBP
Sterling today: Pound slips as dollar holds firm ahead of Fed decision
Sterling today: Pound slips as dollar holds firm ahead of Fed decision
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Sterling today: Pound slips as dollar holds firm ahead of Fed decision
USDGBP
Sterling today: Pound slips as dollar holds firm ahead of Fed decision
Sterling today: Pound slips as dollar holds firm ahead of Fed decision
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Germany Ifo business confidence improves in October as expectations surprise higher
EUR
Germany October Ifo business climate index 90.2 vs 90.0 expected Prior 89.9 Germany October Ifo current conditions index 88.8 vs 89.9 expected Prior 89.5 Germany October Ifo expectations index 91.6 vs 90.0 expected Prior 90.4 The breakdownThe survey continues to reaffirm a further improvement in German business sentiment, one that is especially backed by stronger a stronger...
Germany Ifo business confidence improves in October as expectations surprise higher
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Germany Ifo business confidence improves in October as expectations surprise higher
EUR
Germany October Ifo business climate index 90.2 vs 90.0 expected Prior 89.9 Germany October Ifo current conditions index 88.8 vs 89.9 expected Prior 89.5 Germany October Ifo expectations index 91.6 vs 90.0 expected Prior 90.4 The breakdownThe survey continues to reaffirm a further improvement in German business sentiment, one that is especially backed by stronger a stronger...
Germany Ifo business confidence improves in October as expectations surprise higher
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
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