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Americas market news wrap: ECB holds, sources report says December hike
USDEURGBPAUD
Iran's Ghalibaf: Progress can only be achieved once the seven conditions have been agreed upon Trump: Iran war will be over very soon.
Americas market news wrap: ECB holds, sources report says December hike
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Americas market news wrap: ECB holds, sources report says December hike
USDEURGBPAUD
Iran's Ghalibaf: Progress can only be achieved once the seven conditions have been agreed upon Trump: Iran war will be over very soon.
Americas market news wrap: ECB holds, sources report says December hike
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Dollar dips and euro rises after Fed, ECB rate decisions; pound extends gains
USDEURGBP
Dollar dips and euro rises after Fed, ECB rate decisions; pound extends gains
Dollar dips and euro rises after Fed, ECB rate decisions; pound extends gains
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Dollar dips and euro rises after Fed, ECB rate decisions; pound extends gains
USDEURGBP
Dollar dips and euro rises after Fed, ECB rate decisions; pound extends gains
Dollar dips and euro rises after Fed, ECB rate decisions; pound extends gains
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Trump: Iran war will be over very soon. Senator warns of 'insane' US plans
USD
Trump has said this at least 100 times since the war started in late February. He is an improviser, not a planner.
Trump: Iran war will be over very soon. Senator warns of 'insane' US plans
What this may mean
Energy-market changes can affect inflation expectations, commodity currencies, transport costs and broader risk sentiment.
Trump: Iran war will be over very soon. Senator warns of 'insane' US plans
USD
Trump has said this at least 100 times since the war started in late February. He is an improviser, not a planner.
Trump: Iran war will be over very soon. Senator warns of 'insane' US plans
What this may mean
Energy-market changes can affect inflation expectations, commodity currencies, transport costs and broader risk sentiment.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Iran's Ghalibaf: Progress can only be achieved once the seven conditions have been agreed upon
USD
Iran this week has repeated its 'seven conditions' several times and most of it was part of the agreement with the US from June 17. End military operations on all fronts.
Iran's Ghalibaf: Progress can only be achieved once the seven conditions have been agreed upon
What this may mean
Energy-market changes can affect inflation expectations, commodity currencies, transport costs and broader risk sentiment.
Iran's Ghalibaf: Progress can only be achieved once the seven conditions have been agreed upon
USD
Iran this week has repeated its 'seven conditions' several times and most of it was part of the agreement with the US from June 17. End military operations on all fronts.
Iran's Ghalibaf: Progress can only be achieved once the seven conditions have been agreed upon
What this may mean
Energy-market changes can affect inflation expectations, commodity currencies, transport costs and broader risk sentiment.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
US treasury sells $44 billion of 7 year notes at a high yield of 4.894%
USD
High yield: 4.894% WI level at the time of the auction: 4.894% Tail: 0.0 basis points vs the average of 0.2 basis points Bid to cover: 2.46X vs the average of 2.49X Directs: 32.82% vs the average of 24.2% Indirects: 57.77% vs the average of 63.7% Dealers: 9.41% vs the average of 12.1% Auction grade: B− A slightly above-average auction overall.
US treasury sells $44 billion of 7 year notes at a high yield of 4.894%
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
US treasury sells $44 billion of 7 year notes at a high yield of 4.894%
USD
High yield: 4.894% WI level at the time of the auction: 4.894% Tail: 0.0 basis points vs the average of 0.2 basis points Bid to cover: 2.46X vs the average of 2.49X Directs: 32.82% vs the average of 24.2% Indirects: 57.77% vs the average of 63.7% Dealers: 9.41% vs the average of 12.1% Auction grade: B− A slightly above-average auction overall.
US treasury sells $44 billion of 7 year notes at a high yield of 4.894%
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Canadian dollar strengthens as traders assess BoC hike, await US data
USDCAD
Canadian dollar strengthens as traders assess BoC hike, await US data
Canadian dollar strengthens as traders assess BoC hike, await US data
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Canadian dollar strengthens as traders assess BoC hike, await US data
USDCAD
Canadian dollar strengthens as traders assess BoC hike, await US data
Canadian dollar strengthens as traders assess BoC hike, await US data
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Sterling hits 17-Month high vs Euro as ECB holds rates
EURGBP
Sterling hits 17-Month high vs Euro as ECB holds rates
Sterling hits 17-Month high vs Euro as ECB holds rates
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Sterling hits 17-Month high vs Euro as ECB holds rates
EURGBP
Sterling hits 17-Month high vs Euro as ECB holds rates
Sterling hits 17-Month high vs Euro as ECB holds rates
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
U.S. yields steady on PCE lands in-line; Europe awaits ECb
USDEUR
U.S. yields steady on PCE lands in-line; Europe awaits ECb
U.S. yields steady on PCE lands in-line; Europe awaits ECb
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
U.S. yields steady on PCE lands in-line; Europe awaits ECb
USDEUR
U.S. yields steady on PCE lands in-line; Europe awaits ECb
U.S. yields steady on PCE lands in-line; Europe awaits ECb
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
US September PCE core inflation +0.5% m/m vs +0.3% expected
USDJPYAUD
Prior MoM +0.2% Core PCE +0.3% y/y vs +3.1% expected Prior was 3.0% y/y Headline PCE +3.6% y/y vs +3.6% expected (prior 3.4%) Deflator MoM +0.5% vs +0.5% expected (prior +0.3%) Consumer spending and income for September: Personal income +0.2% vs +0.3% expected. Prior month +0.2% Personal spending +0.5% vs +0.6% expected.
US September PCE core inflation +0.5% m/m vs +0.3% expected
What this may mean
Inflation developments can change the expected path of interest rates and therefore affect currencies, bonds, equities and gold.
US September PCE core inflation +0.5% m/m vs +0.3% expected
USDJPYAUD
Prior MoM +0.2% Core PCE +0.3% y/y vs +3.1% expected Prior was 3.0% y/y Headline PCE +3.6% y/y vs +3.6% expected (prior 3.4%) Deflator MoM +0.5% vs +0.5% expected (prior +0.3%) Consumer spending and income for September: Personal income +0.2% vs +0.3% expected. Prior month +0.2% Personal spending +0.5% vs +0.6% expected.
US September PCE core inflation +0.5% m/m vs +0.3% expected
What this may mean
Inflation developments can change the expected path of interest rates and therefore affect currencies, bonds, equities and gold.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
US GDP Advance for the 3rd quarter 3.4% vs 3.2% estimate
USD
Prior quarter 2,2% The details GDP: 3.4% vs 3.2% expected. Prior revised to 2.2% from 1.5%.
US GDP Advance for the 3rd quarter 3.4% vs 3.2% estimate
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
US GDP Advance for the 3rd quarter 3.4% vs 3.2% estimate
USD
Prior quarter 2,2% The details GDP: 3.4% vs 3.2% expected. Prior revised to 2.2% from 1.5%.
US GDP Advance for the 3rd quarter 3.4% vs 3.2% estimate
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
US initial jobless claims 194K vs 199K expected
USD
Prior 194K (revised to 195K) Continuing claims 1701K vs 1720K expected Prior 1728K (revised to 1722K) US initial jobless claims came in at 194K versus 199K expected, while continuing claims fell to 1.701 million against expectations of 1.720 million. The previous readings were revised to 195K and 1.722 million, respectively.
US initial jobless claims 194K vs 199K expected
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
US initial jobless claims 194K vs 199K expected
USD
Prior 194K (revised to 195K) Continuing claims 1701K vs 1720K expected Prior 1728K (revised to 1722K) US initial jobless claims came in at 194K versus 199K expected, while continuing claims fell to 1.701 million against expectations of 1.720 million. The previous readings were revised to 195K and 1.722 million, respectively.
US initial jobless claims 194K vs 199K expected
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
European session wrap: Stocks diverge as markets brace for US inflation, ECB and Amazon earnings
USDEURAUDCAD
Headlines: US futures tumble as Alphabet earnings revive AI spending fears, Amazon is next in the firing line ECB president Lagarde set to step down from her position next February Crude oil remains capped by renewed US-Iran deal hopes, but upside risks persist Trump administration in ongoing talks for a temporary peace deal with Iran - Semafor Gold whipsaws on FOMC decision...
European session wrap: Stocks diverge as markets brace for US inflation, ECB and Amazon earnings
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
European session wrap: Stocks diverge as markets brace for US inflation, ECB and Amazon earnings
USDEURAUDCAD
Headlines: US futures tumble as Alphabet earnings revive AI spending fears, Amazon is next in the firing line ECB president Lagarde set to step down from her position next February Crude oil remains capped by renewed US-Iran deal hopes, but upside risks persist Trump administration in ongoing talks for a temporary peace deal with Iran - Semafor Gold whipsaws on FOMC decision...
European session wrap: Stocks diverge as markets brace for US inflation, ECB and Amazon earnings
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
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