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Treasury yields nudge toward one-week highs; Fed decision, Big Tech earnings loom
USD
Treasury yields nudge toward one-week highs; Fed decision, Big Tech earnings loom
Treasury yields nudge toward one-week highs; Fed decision, Big Tech earnings loom
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Treasury yields nudge toward one-week highs; Fed decision, Big Tech earnings loom
USD
Treasury yields nudge toward one-week highs; Fed decision, Big Tech earnings loom
Treasury yields nudge toward one-week highs; Fed decision, Big Tech earnings loom
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
US Wholesale inventories 0.6% vs 0.5% estimate
USD
Wholesale inventories: +0.6% MoM. Retail inventories: +0.3% MoM.
US Wholesale inventories 0.6% vs 0.5% estimate
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
US Wholesale inventories 0.6% vs 0.5% estimate
USD
Wholesale inventories: +0.6% MoM. Retail inventories: +0.3% MoM.
US Wholesale inventories 0.6% vs 0.5% estimate
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
US September advance goods trade balance -134.9 billion vs -130.2 billion expected
USD
Prior was -132.6 These are the two worst back-to-back months since just before Liberation Day, when goods were flooding into the US to try to front-run Trump's tariffs. Excluding Jan-Mar 2025, it's the worst two-month period ever.
US September advance goods trade balance -134.9 billion vs -130.2 billion expected
What this may mean
Growth data can reshape recession, earnings and policy expectations across currencies and risk assets.
US September advance goods trade balance -134.9 billion vs -130.2 billion expected
USD
Prior was -132.6 These are the two worst back-to-back months since just before Liberation Day, when goods were flooding into the US to try to front-run Trump's tariffs. Excluding Jan-Mar 2025, it's the worst two-month period ever.
US September advance goods trade balance -134.9 billion vs -130.2 billion expected
What this may mean
Growth data can reshape recession, earnings and policy expectations across currencies and risk assets.
Key points
- Market context: Potentially negative
European session wrap: Stocks tread cautiously as Fed decision and big tech earnings loom
USDGBPAUDCADNZDCNY
Headlines: Crude oil remains under pressure amid US-Iran deal hopes; setbacks could push prices to new highs Qatari mediators presented Iran with new draft deal; Iran's response expected by the end of the week Gold rebounds on renewed hopes for US-Iran deal as focus shifts to FOMC decision Wall Street faces a double test as Fed decision and Microsoft, Alphabet earnings loom...
European session wrap: Stocks tread cautiously as Fed decision and big tech earnings loom
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
European session wrap: Stocks tread cautiously as Fed decision and big tech earnings loom
USDGBPAUDCADNZDCNY
Headlines: Crude oil remains under pressure amid US-Iran deal hopes; setbacks could push prices to new highs Qatari mediators presented Iran with new draft deal; Iran's response expected by the end of the week Gold rebounds on renewed hopes for US-Iran deal as focus shifts to FOMC decision Wall Street faces a double test as Fed decision and Microsoft, Alphabet earnings loom...
European session wrap: Stocks tread cautiously as Fed decision and big tech earnings loom
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Polish zloty falls to weakest level since November 2023
Polish zloty falls to weakest level since November 2023
Polish zloty falls to weakest level since November 2023
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
Polish zloty falls to weakest level since November 2023
Polish zloty falls to weakest level since November 2023
Polish zloty falls to weakest level since November 2023
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Heads up: UK autumn budget puts Healey to the test as gilt markets await fiscal reassurance
GBP
UK chancellor Healey has a rather unenviable task at hand today. He is expected to deliver a budget that keeps households happy, businesses afloat, and bond investors calm.
Heads up: UK autumn budget puts Healey to the test as gilt markets await fiscal reassurance
What this may mean
Inflation developments can change the expected path of interest rates and therefore affect currencies, bonds, equities and gold.
Heads up: UK autumn budget puts Healey to the test as gilt markets await fiscal reassurance
GBP
UK chancellor Healey has a rather unenviable task at hand today. He is expected to deliver a budget that keeps households happy, businesses afloat, and bond investors calm.
Heads up: UK autumn budget puts Healey to the test as gilt markets await fiscal reassurance
What this may mean
Inflation developments can change the expected path of interest rates and therefore affect currencies, bonds, equities and gold.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Qatari mediators presented Iran with new draft deal; Iran's response expected by the end of the week
USD
According to an official briefed on the US-Iran negotiations, Qatari mediators presented Tehran with a new draft proposal on Sunday. Iran is considering the proposal, with a response expected by the end of the week.
Qatari mediators presented Iran with new draft deal; Iran's response expected by the end of the week
What this may mean
Inflation developments can change the expected path of interest rates and therefore affect currencies, bonds, equities and gold.
Qatari mediators presented Iran with new draft deal; Iran's response expected by the end of the week
USD
According to an official briefed on the US-Iran negotiations, Qatari mediators presented Tehran with a new draft proposal on Sunday. Iran is considering the proposal, with a response expected by the end of the week.
Qatari mediators presented Iran with new draft deal; Iran's response expected by the end of the week
What this may mean
Inflation developments can change the expected path of interest rates and therefore affect currencies, bonds, equities and gold.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Germany's trade struggles with China set to put Asia-Pacific deficit on course for record high
CNY
For quite some time now, Germany's export struggles are hardly anything new. A lot of that comes down to push to diversify away from China in recent times but Beijing's own ambitions to become more self-sufficient haven't exactly helped matters either.
Germany's trade struggles with China set to put Asia-Pacific deficit on course for record high
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
Germany's trade struggles with China set to put Asia-Pacific deficit on course for record high
CNY
For quite some time now, Germany's export struggles are hardly anything new. A lot of that comes down to push to diversify away from China in recent times but Beijing's own ambitions to become more self-sufficient haven't exactly helped matters either.
Germany's trade struggles with China set to put Asia-Pacific deficit on course for record high
What this may mean
The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
What are the main events for today?
USDGBPCAD
EUROPEAN SESSION In the European session, the main highlight will be the UK Budget announcement at 12:30 GMT/08:30 ET. The UK Chancellor is expected to announce targeted tax increases and cost-of-living support, with markets focused on the OBR’s updated forecasts and the government’s fiscal headroom, estimated at around £15–16bn.
What are the main events for today?
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
What are the main events for today?
USDGBPCAD
EUROPEAN SESSION In the European session, the main highlight will be the UK Budget announcement at 12:30 GMT/08:30 ET. The UK Chancellor is expected to announce targeted tax increases and cost-of-living support, with markets focused on the OBR’s updated forecasts and the government’s fiscal headroom, estimated at around £15–16bn.
What are the main events for today?
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Germany November GfK consumer sentiment -30.8 vs -30.9 expected
EUR
Germany November GfK consumer sentiment -30.8 vs -30.9 expected Prior -30.6 The breakdownDetails to follow... What does the data measure?The GfK consumer climate index measures German households' confidence in their financial prospects and willingness to spend.
Germany November GfK consumer sentiment -30.8 vs -30.9 expected
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Germany consumer sentiment remains weak ahead of November as inflation fears cloud recovery outlook
EUR
Germany November GfK consumer sentiment -30.8 vs -30.9 expected Prior -30.6 The breakdownThe latest GfK survey shows that German consumer sentiment is set to slip marginally heading into November, amid growing inflation fears and more subdued income prospects.
Germany consumer sentiment remains weak ahead of November as inflation fears cloud recovery outlook
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Germany November GfK consumer sentiment -30.8 vs -30.9 expected
EUR
Germany November GfK consumer sentiment -30.8 vs -30.9 expected Prior -30.6 The breakdownDetails to follow... What does the data measure?The GfK consumer climate index measures German households' confidence in their financial prospects and willingness to spend.
Germany November GfK consumer sentiment -30.8 vs -30.9 expected
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Germany consumer sentiment remains weak ahead of November as inflation fears cloud recovery outlook
EUR
Germany November GfK consumer sentiment -30.8 vs -30.9 expected Prior -30.6 The breakdownThe latest GfK survey shows that German consumer sentiment is set to slip marginally heading into November, amid growing inflation fears and more subdued income prospects.
Germany consumer sentiment remains weak ahead of November as inflation fears cloud recovery outlook
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
European markets brace for Fed decision as hot Australia CPI, RBNZ surprise and oil rally stir nerves
USDAUDNZD
It has been quite an eventful start to the day so far as the central bank bonanza rolls into town. That is putting inflation back in the spotlight with there already being plenty to digest before European traders get to their desks and before we even get to the main events later today.
European markets brace for Fed decision as hot Australia CPI, RBNZ surprise and oil rally stir nerves
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
European markets brace for Fed decision as hot Australia CPI, RBNZ surprise and oil rally stir nerves
USDAUDNZD
It has been quite an eventful start to the day so far as the central bank bonanza rolls into town. That is putting inflation back in the spotlight with there already being plenty to digest before European traders get to their desks and before we even get to the main events later today.
European markets brace for Fed decision as hot Australia CPI, RBNZ surprise and oil rally stir nerves
What this may mean
Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.
Key points
- Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
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