FORECAST • MARKET CONTEXT

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Economic calendarMedium impact

US PPI Final Demand MoM

USD

Scheduled official BLS release. Consensus forecast is unavailable until a licensed provider is connected.

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Forecast
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Previous
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What this may mean

Producer-price pressure can affect the inflation outlook, interest-rate expectations and the U.S. dollar.

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Economic calendarHigh impact

US CPI MoM

USD

Scheduled official BLS release. Consensus forecast is unavailable until a licensed provider is connected.

Event time Upcoming
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Actual
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Forecast
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Previous
—

What this may mean

U.S. inflation can change Federal Reserve rate expectations and move the dollar, Treasury yields, gold and equities.

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Economic calendarHigh impact

US Core CPI MoM

USD

Scheduled official BLS release. Consensus forecast is unavailable until a licensed provider is connected.

Event time Upcoming
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Actual
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Forecast
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Previous
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What this may mean

U.S. inflation can change Federal Reserve rate expectations and move the dollar, Treasury yields, gold and equities.

Link to this update
Economic calendarHigh impact

US Nonfarm Payrolls

USD

Scheduled official BLS release. Consensus forecast is unavailable until a licensed provider is connected.

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Forecast
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What this may mean

U.S. labour-market strength can change growth and Federal Reserve expectations across currencies and risk assets.

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Economic calendarHigh impact

US Unemployment Rate

USD

Scheduled official BLS release. Consensus forecast is unavailable until a licensed provider is connected.

Event time Upcoming
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Actual
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Forecast
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What this may mean

U.S. labour-market strength can change growth and Federal Reserve expectations across currencies and risk assets.

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Economic calendarMedium impact

US JOLTS Job Openings

USD

Scheduled official BLS release. Consensus forecast is unavailable until a licensed provider is connected.

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Forecast
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What this may mean

Job openings provide a timely signal of labour demand and can influence Federal Reserve policy expectations.

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Economic calendarMedium impact

US PPI Final Demand MoM

USD

Scheduled official BLS release. Consensus forecast is unavailable until a licensed provider is connected.

Event time Upcoming
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+1.3%

What this may mean

Producer-price pressure can affect the inflation outlook, interest-rate expectations and the U.S. dollar.

Link to this update
Economic calendarHigh impact

US CPI MoM

USD

Scheduled official BLS release. Consensus forecast is unavailable until a licensed provider is connected.

Event time Upcoming
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Forecast
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Previous
+0.6%

What this may mean

U.S. inflation can change Federal Reserve rate expectations and move the dollar, Treasury yields, gold and equities.

Link to this update
Economic calendarHigh impact

US Core CPI MoM

USD

Scheduled official BLS release. Consensus forecast is unavailable until a licensed provider is connected.

Event time Upcoming
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Actual
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Forecast
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Previous
+0.3%

What this may mean

U.S. inflation can change Federal Reserve rate expectations and move the dollar, Treasury yields, gold and equities.

Link to this update
Economic calendarHigh impact

US Nonfarm Payrolls

USD

Scheduled official BLS release. Consensus forecast is unavailable until a licensed provider is connected.

Event time Upcoming
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Forecast
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+29K

What this may mean

U.S. labour-market strength can change growth and Federal Reserve expectations across currencies and risk assets.

Link to this update
Economic calendarHigh impact

US Unemployment Rate

USD

Scheduled official BLS release. Consensus forecast is unavailable until a licensed provider is connected.

Event time Upcoming
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Forecast
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4.2%

What this may mean

U.S. labour-market strength can change growth and Federal Reserve expectations across currencies and risk assets.

Link to this update
Economic calendarMedium impact

US JOLTS Job Openings

USD

Scheduled official BLS release. Consensus forecast is unavailable until a licensed provider is connected.

Event time Upcoming
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Forecast
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7.079M

What this may mean

Job openings provide a timely signal of labour demand and can influence Federal Reserve policy expectations.

Link to this update
News briefingLow impact

Canadian dollar slips from six-week high as oil retreat offsets weaker U.S. dollar

USDCAD

Canadian dollar slips from six-week high as oil retreat offsets weaker U.S. dollar

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What this may mean

Energy-market changes can affect inflation expectations, commodity currencies, transport costs and broader risk sentiment.

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Market analysisLow impact

Canadian dollar slips from six-week high as oil retreat offsets weaker U.S. dollar

USDCAD

Canadian dollar slips from six-week high as oil retreat offsets weaker U.S. dollar

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What this may mean

Energy-market changes can affect inflation expectations, commodity currencies, transport costs and broader risk sentiment.

Key points

  • Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
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News briefingMedium impact

US construction spending for the month of September -1.9% versus 0.3% estimate

USD

Prior month +0.9% revised to +2.0%. Details from the Census Department Total construction spending: −1.9% MoM, at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $2,186.1 billion, versus August’s revised $2,227.4 billion.

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What this may mean

Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.

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Market analysisMedium impact

US construction spending for the month of September -1.9% versus 0.3% estimate

USD

Prior month +0.9% revised to +2.0%. Details from the Census Department Total construction spending: −1.9% MoM, at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $2,186.1 billion, versus August’s revised $2,227.4 billion.

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What this may mean

Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.

Key points

  • Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Link to this update
News briefingHigh impact

US ISM manufacturing PMI for October 55.5 versus 54.5 estimate

USD

Prior month 54.5 Details of the report. Manufacturing PMI: 55.5 vs 54.5 expected.

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What this may mean

Inflation developments can change the expected path of interest rates and therefore affect currencies, bonds, equities and gold.

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Market analysisHigh impact

US ISM manufacturing PMI for October 55.5 versus 54.5 estimate

USD

Prior month 54.5 Details of the report. Manufacturing PMI: 55.5 vs 54.5 expected.

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What this may mean

Inflation developments can change the expected path of interest rates and therefore affect currencies, bonds, equities and gold.

Key points

  • Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Link to this update
News briefingHigh impact

US S&P Global final manufacturing PMI for October 54.9 vs 56.0 preliminary

USD

Preliminary 56.0 Prior month 55.9 Details for October 2026 from the S&P Global: Manufacturing PMI: 54.9. Prior 55.9, a 52-month high.

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What this may mean

Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.

Link to this update
Market analysisHigh impact

US S&P Global final manufacturing PMI for October 54.9 vs 56.0 preliminary

USD

Preliminary 56.0 Prior month 55.9 Details for October 2026 from the S&P Global: Manufacturing PMI: 54.9. Prior 55.9, a 52-month high.

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What this may mean

Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.

Key points

  • Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Link to this update
News briefingHigh impact

Canada S&P global manufacturing PMI 49.6 versus 51.5 last month

USDCAD

Prior month 51.5 Details: Manufacturing PMI: 49.6. First reading below 50 in 2026 and lowest since December 2025.

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What this may mean

Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.

Link to this update
Market analysisHigh impact

Canada S&P global manufacturing PMI 49.6 versus 51.5 last month

USDCAD

Prior month 51.5 Details: Manufacturing PMI: 49.6. First reading below 50 in 2026 and lowest since December 2025.

Read the detailsClose details

What this may mean

Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.

Key points

  • Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Link to this update
News briefingLow impact

US election: The key races that could tip control of Congress

USD

Tuesday’s midterm elections will determine whether Republicans retain control of Congress or Democrats gain the ability to slow President Donald Trump’s agenda during the final two years of his term (and cause other headaches for President Trump).

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What this may mean

The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.

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Market analysisLow impact

US election: The key races that could tip control of Congress

USD

Tuesday’s midterm elections will determine whether Republicans retain control of Congress or Democrats gain the ability to slow President Donald Trump’s agenda during the final two years of his term (and cause other headaches for President Trump).

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What this may mean

The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.

Key points

  • Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Link to this update
FX SAM

From the FX SAM desk

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