FORECAST • MARKET CONTEXT

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Economic calendarMedium impact

US PPI Final Demand MoM

USD

Scheduled official BLS release. Consensus forecast is unavailable until a licensed provider is connected.

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What this may mean

Producer-price pressure can affect the inflation outlook, interest-rate expectations and the U.S. dollar.

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Economic calendarHigh impact

US CPI MoM

USD

Scheduled official BLS release. Consensus forecast is unavailable until a licensed provider is connected.

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What this may mean

U.S. inflation can change Federal Reserve rate expectations and move the dollar, Treasury yields, gold and equities.

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Economic calendarHigh impact

US Core CPI MoM

USD

Scheduled official BLS release. Consensus forecast is unavailable until a licensed provider is connected.

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What this may mean

U.S. inflation can change Federal Reserve rate expectations and move the dollar, Treasury yields, gold and equities.

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Economic calendarHigh impact

US Nonfarm Payrolls

USD

Scheduled official BLS release. Consensus forecast is unavailable until a licensed provider is connected.

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What this may mean

U.S. labour-market strength can change growth and Federal Reserve expectations across currencies and risk assets.

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Economic calendarHigh impact

US Unemployment Rate

USD

Scheduled official BLS release. Consensus forecast is unavailable until a licensed provider is connected.

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What this may mean

U.S. labour-market strength can change growth and Federal Reserve expectations across currencies and risk assets.

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Economic calendarMedium impact

US JOLTS Job Openings

USD

Scheduled official BLS release. Consensus forecast is unavailable until a licensed provider is connected.

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What this may mean

Job openings provide a timely signal of labour demand and can influence Federal Reserve policy expectations.

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Economic calendarMedium impact

US PPI Final Demand MoM

USD

Scheduled official BLS release. Consensus forecast is unavailable until a licensed provider is connected.

Event time Upcoming
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Previous
+1.3%

What this may mean

Producer-price pressure can affect the inflation outlook, interest-rate expectations and the U.S. dollar.

Link to this update
Economic calendarHigh impact

US CPI MoM

USD

Scheduled official BLS release. Consensus forecast is unavailable until a licensed provider is connected.

Event time Upcoming
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Forecast
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Previous
+0.6%

What this may mean

U.S. inflation can change Federal Reserve rate expectations and move the dollar, Treasury yields, gold and equities.

Link to this update
Economic calendarHigh impact

US Core CPI MoM

USD

Scheduled official BLS release. Consensus forecast is unavailable until a licensed provider is connected.

Event time Upcoming
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Actual
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Forecast
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Previous
+0.3%

What this may mean

U.S. inflation can change Federal Reserve rate expectations and move the dollar, Treasury yields, gold and equities.

Link to this update
Economic calendarHigh impact

US Nonfarm Payrolls

USD

Scheduled official BLS release. Consensus forecast is unavailable until a licensed provider is connected.

Event time Upcoming
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+29K

What this may mean

U.S. labour-market strength can change growth and Federal Reserve expectations across currencies and risk assets.

Link to this update
Economic calendarHigh impact

US Unemployment Rate

USD

Scheduled official BLS release. Consensus forecast is unavailable until a licensed provider is connected.

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4.2%

What this may mean

U.S. labour-market strength can change growth and Federal Reserve expectations across currencies and risk assets.

Link to this update
Economic calendarMedium impact

US JOLTS Job Openings

USD

Scheduled official BLS release. Consensus forecast is unavailable until a licensed provider is connected.

Event time Upcoming
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7.079M

What this may mean

Job openings provide a timely signal of labour demand and can influence Federal Reserve policy expectations.

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News briefingHigh impact

Americas FX news wrap 30 Oct: It’s a wrap: Nasdaq tumbles as AI costs worry investors; Fed speakers keep hikes in play

USDGBPCAD

Nasdaq suffers worst month since March 2025 as technology stocks tumble Bitcoin tests key support as Binance security fears weigh Week ahead: Elections, rate decisions and jobs take center stage Earnings next week: Can Apple, Palantir and AMD restore confidence?

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What this may mean

Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.

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Market analysisHigh impact

Americas FX news wrap 30 Oct: It’s a wrap: Nasdaq tumbles as AI costs worry investors; Fed speakers keep hikes in play

USDGBPCAD

Nasdaq suffers worst month since March 2025 as technology stocks tumble Bitcoin tests key support as Binance security fears weigh Week ahead: Elections, rate decisions and jobs take center stage Earnings next week: Can Apple, Palantir and AMD restore confidence?

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What this may mean

Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.

Key points

  • Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
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News briefingLow impact

Dollar rises for October as rate hike bets remain elevated, euro and yen slip

USDEURJPY

Dollar rises for October as rate hike bets remain elevated, euro and yen slip

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The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.

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Market analysisLow impact

Dollar rises for October as rate hike bets remain elevated, euro and yen slip

USDEURJPY

Dollar rises for October as rate hike bets remain elevated, euro and yen slip

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What this may mean

The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.

Key points

  • Market context: Potentially supportive
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News briefingHigh impact

Week ahead: Elections, rate decisions and jobs take center stage

USDEURGBPAUDCADNZD

Next week’s calendar gives traders plenty to work with. US congressional elections bring political uncertainty, the Reserve Bank of Australia and Bank of England are expected to raise rates, and Friday delivers employment reports from both the US and Canada.

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What this may mean

Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.

Link to this update
Market analysisHigh impact

Week ahead: Elections, rate decisions and jobs take center stage

USDEURGBPAUDCADNZD

Next week’s calendar gives traders plenty to work with. US congressional elections bring political uncertainty, the Reserve Bank of Australia and Bank of England are expected to raise rates, and Friday delivers employment reports from both the US and Canada.

Read the detailsClose details

What this may mean

Central-bank guidance can quickly change interest-rate expectations, currency volatility, bond yields and risk appetite.

Key points

  • Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Link to this update
News briefingLow impact

Carney: Canada, EU working toward deepest possible partnership, short of accession

CAD

Comments from Canada PM Carney cross the wires: Canada, EU working towards deepest possible partnership, short of accession. We will determine substance, scale and scope of this form of membership over coming months.

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What this may mean

The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.

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Market analysisLow impact

Carney: Canada, EU working toward deepest possible partnership, short of accession

CAD

Comments from Canada PM Carney cross the wires: Canada, EU working towards deepest possible partnership, short of accession. We will determine substance, scale and scope of this form of membership over coming months.

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What this may mean

The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.

Key points

  • Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Link to this update
News briefingMedium impact

Fitch on UK Budget: Policy continuity leaves a tough delivery challenge

GBP

Fitch’s assessment of the UK Budget points to a familiar problem: setting out a path to stronger public finances is one thing. Delivering it is another.

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What this may mean

Inflation developments can change the expected path of interest rates and therefore affect currencies, bonds, equities and gold.

Link to this update
Market analysisMedium impact

Fitch on UK Budget: Policy continuity leaves a tough delivery challenge

GBP

Fitch’s assessment of the UK Budget points to a familiar problem: setting out a path to stronger public finances is one thing. Delivering it is another.

Read the detailsClose details

What this may mean

Inflation developments can change the expected path of interest rates and therefore affect currencies, bonds, equities and gold.

Key points

  • Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Link to this update
News briefingLow impact

Why Deutsche Bank says the AI dollar is here

USD

Why Deutsche Bank says the AI dollar is here

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What this may mean

The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.

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Market analysisLow impact

Why Deutsche Bank says the AI dollar is here

USD

Why Deutsche Bank says the AI dollar is here

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What this may mean

The development may affect the tagged currencies or assets as markets reassess growth, policy or risk expectations.

Key points

  • Market context: Mixed / needs confirmation
Link to this update
FX SAM

From the FX SAM desk

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